基于信息量法和集成学习算法的地质灾害易发性评价——以黑龙江省哈尔滨市为例

    Assessment of geological hazard susceptibility based on information method and ensemble learning algorithm: A case study of Harbin City in Heilongjiang Province

    • 摘要: 为开展黑龙江省哈尔滨市地质灾害易发性区划和地质灾害防治, 选取坡度、坡向、曲率、岩性、NDVI、距水系距离、距道路距离、距构造距离等8类评价因子, 建立地质灾害易发性评价指标体系.从信息量算法计算出的极低易发区和低易发区中随机选取非地质灾害样本, 与地质灾害样本组成论文数据集.采用随机森林、Adaboost和Stacking等3种集成学习方法对哈尔滨市地质灾害易发性进行评价, 并通过混淆矩阵进行精度验证.结果表明: 4种算法易发性评价分区图评价结果趋势相同, 且与研究区实际情况较为一致.哈尔滨市地质灾害主要诱发因素为人类工程活动, 极高发区主要集中在道路附近.随机森林算法预测的极高易发区的面积仅占全区的1.27%, 地质灾害数量占比21.03%, 频率比达16.58, AUC值为最高的0.891, 说明3种集成学习算法中, 随机森林算法在该区域地质灾害易发性评价中更具优势.

       

      Abstract: To carry out the geological hazard susceptibility zoning and prevention in Harbin, Heilongjiang Province, eight evaluation factors including slope gradient, slope aspect, curvature, lithology, NDVI, distance from river, distance from road and distance from structure are selected to establish the evaluation index system of geological hazard susceptibility. The non-geological hazard samples are randomly chosen from the extremely low and low susceptible zones calculated by information algorithm, which forms the document data set together with the geological hazard samples. Besides, three ensemble learning methods such as random forest(RF), Adaboost and Stacking are used to assess the geological hazard vulnerability in Harbin, and the accuracy is verified by confusion matrix. The results show that the trend of evaluation results of the four algorithms is the same, and consistent with the actual situation of the study area. The major inducing factor of geological hazards in Harbin is human engineering activities, with the extremely high susceptible zones mainly concentrated near roads. The area of extremely high susceptible zones predicted by RF algorithm accounts for only 1.27% of the whole region, yet the number of geological hazards takes up 21.03%, with the frequency ratio of 16.58 and the maximum AUC value reaching 0.891, indicating that RF algorithm has more advantages in the geological hazard susceptibility evaluation among the above three algorithms.

       

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